-- =DJ UPDATE:Reuters To Distribute Univ Of Mich Sentiment Data
--
(Adds that current subscribers will continue to have access to the
report and
that the preliminary and end-month release of the survey will be
maintained)
By Laurence Norman and Michael S. Derby
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
NEW YORK (Dow
Jones)--Reuters Group PLC (RTRSY) and the University of Michigan
announced
Wednesday an agreement that gives the media company distribution
rights for
the university's closely-watched consumer sentiment survey.
The
agreement will give broad access to the twice-monthly report, one of two
main
U.S. consumer confidence indicators. Until now, the report has been
released
only to subscribers, and has appeared on financial news services after
being
leaked by market participants.
Reuters said it will publish the
survey's key numbers on its public Web site
and to paid subscribers.
The agreement goes into effect Jan. 1, 2007, according to joint press
release.
The survey will continue to be conducted by the University of
Michigan but will
be renamed the Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of
Consumers.
Diane Swanbrow, a spokesperson for the University of
Michigan's Institute for
Social Research, said the agreement will last for
three years.
For the first six months, Reuters will have exclusive
rights to distribute the
headline numbers in the survey. Thereafter, the data
will also be archived at
the University of Michigan Inter-University
Consortium for Political and Social
Research.
The headline
numbers, which include the overall index for consumer sentiment,
the index
for current economic conditions, for future expectations and the one-
and
five-year inflation expectations, will be publicly available.
In
addition, Reuters said it will release more in depth information,
including
expectations for changes in unemployment and interest rates as well
as
information on projected consumer demand for houses and other large
purchases.
A Reuters spokesman said the current subscribers to the
Michigan survey will
continue to enjoy full access to the data once the new
agreement comes into
effect.
Swanbrow did not say how much Reuters
paid for distribution rights, however,
she said "the value of the sponsorship
will cover the cost of conducting the
research, which is more than $1
million" each year. Reuters declined to comment
on how much they paid for
distribution rights.
Swanbrow said that in addition to covering the
university's costs, the data's
distribution through Reuters will "provide
greater transparency" and will "allow
all investors to have access to the key
index figures at the same time."
End Of The Affair
The University of Michigan survey has a controversial
history. Its restricted
status and unauthorized appearance in press reports
led to a serious campaign by
the group to control its release.
There was also an episode in spring of 2004 when Richard Curtin, the
director
of the survey, told subscribers there had been an "unauthorized
access and
public release" of the sentiment data. The alleged breach was
investigated by
the Federal Bureau of Investigations and by University of
Michigan.
At the time, Curtin blamed the alleged intrusion on an
unnamed news
organization. Later that year, the FBI ended its investigation,
claiming a lack
of evidence.
The Michigan data has also had a long
history of moving financial markets, a
reality that may stem more from its
unusual release pattern than the importance
of its findings. While the bond
market has from time to time shown big swings on
unexpected Michigan
readings, most Federal Reserve officials have downplayed the
data's
significance. Meanwhile, economists have noted the survey's poor
correlation
with spending patterns.
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President
Gary Stern said earlier this
month of sentiment surveys like Michigan: "I
don't think it's useful as a
forecasting device." He added that he prefers to
see indicators of real economic
activity as he goes about his decision making
process.
The Reuters spokesman said there will be no changes in the
report's future
presentation. The University of Michigan will continue to
release a preliminary
mid-month consumer sentiment report and then a final
report at month end.
-By Laurence Norman and Michael
S. Derby, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-2096;
laurence.norman@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
07-26-06
1311ET
Copyright (c) 2006 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.(AP-DJ-07-26-06
1711GMT)