LETTING THE SOLAR SYSTEM
WORK FOR YOU!!
There is a bit of "tongue in cheek" in the title.
Our lives are so busy with hectic schedules and with an
intense focus on our daily activities, that we sometimes
feel like the whole solar system and universe orbits
around us. But, when we step back and look at the
physics of the solar system we begin to realize that we
are only along for the ride. Here on earth everything
(including us) is buffeted by overwhelming waves of
tremendous solar energy, light, electromagnetic, and
cosmic energy. In this presentation, I will be showing
you some very interesting correlations between the
various phases of the 11 year solar energy cycle
(sometimes called "the sunspot cycle") and the
corresponding changes that impact our collective
behavior as a result.
I believe it is well documented with convincing
evidence that fluctuations in solar irradiance (energy)
correspond to fluctuations in human exciteability,
increase in economic output, and that solar energy
impacts all of nature in certain predictable ways. It
was with this knowledge that I knew, the increasing rate
of solar energy released in the late 1990's (as part of
the 11 year "sunspot" cycle) would raise our collective
level of excitement and emotionalism to levels of
"irrational exuberance" and extreme. Also, as the 11
year cycle in solar energy was peaking in 2000-2001, we
would likely be entering an economic recession. My
commentary with these forecasts are archieved on the
CFOS research page. This was NOT accomplished by
astrology, but rather by studying the works of many
outstanding scientists spanning a period of 150 years. I
hope you enjoy this presentation and find it useful! -
Hal Swanson
Remember the great enthusiasm and excitement in the
late 1990's, it seemed like almost anything was
possible! At its fever pitch, we were all excited about
life and the limitless opportunities around us. Well,
that collective intense optimism has repeated itself
with regularity (and much variance) throughout our
history. It most closely matches the cyclic acceleration
of the Sun's energy as measured by an increase in
sunspot numbers. The idea that the sun's activity can
affect us psychologically will make some people
uncomfortable, but the evidence is there and it seems
undeniable. By understanding all the processes at work,
supported by multiple scientific papers, we can use this
knowledge to anticipate social change and to perhaps
even improve upon it. I will be giving plenty of source
links for those of you like myself, like to dig into the
nuts and bolts of a subject. By the way, the limitless
opportunities are still there, but the Sun's energy is
now in a decelerating phase which collectively "dampens"
or lowers our level of excitement ..and we can sense
that. As I go on, I will be telling you more about
this!
The relationship between energy flux on the sun
and it's effect on everything alive on earth is pretty
well documented. The 11 year sunspot cycle has some
close correlations to the stock market, economic growth
and recession, periods of high mass excitability,
weather, health, and more...
First, I would like to put the sun, earth, and the
solar system into perspective. The farthest known
orbiting object around the sun is a tiny ball of ice and
rock called 1996 TL66 which lies more than 12 billion
miles away at the farest point in its orbit. Pluto, the
farthest planet from the sun orbits it from about 4.6
billion miles away. So, we're talking about our solar
system which is unimaginably big! When it comes to mass,
the sun is some 333,400 times more massive than earth
and contains 99.86 percent of the mass of the entire
solar system! And, Jupiter is twice the mass of all the
rest of the planets in the solar system combined! So,
earth and the other planets are just along for the ride.
The sun is held together by gravitational attraction,
producing immense pressure and temperature at its core
(more than a billion times that of the atmosphere on
earth). The total energy radiated from the sun is 383
billion trillion kilowatts, which is the equivalent to
the energy generated by 100 billion tons of TNT
exploding each second.
(ref: Here is a great primer
on sun-earth fundamentals by NASA and for current space conditions
go to SOHO. And, here is a list of quotes by
scientists on various aspects of the sun/earth
connection Whole Earth Forecaster ).
THE PLANETARY SYSTEM-SUN
DYNAMICS
We think of the the sun as sitting in the center
of the solar system called the baycenter, but in fact
the Sun is pulled in a circular pattern (relative
ecliptic) around the baycenter by the collective
masses/orbital velocities of the giant planets, jupiter,
saturn, uranus, and neptune. These collective forces are
so great that the sun is pulled up to 2.2 solar radii
outside the baycenter of the solar system by the angular
momentum of the planets! It's believed by some
scientists that this orbital/cyclic behavior between
planets and the sun creates variations of more than 7%
in the sun's equatorial velocity which significantly
affects the sun's magnetic fields. According to theory,
it is these major fluctuations in the sun's magnetic
fields which affect the sub-surface solar convection
(internal dynamics) resulting is changes in the sun's
energy output, which in turn creates variation in the
earth's climate. For our purposes it is the pulsating 11
year cycle in energy output, called the "sunspot cycle"
that is most useful in this presentation. The 11 year
cycle is actually one-half of a 22.1 year sunspot cycle
which is identified by a reversal in sun's magnetic
polarity. There is evidence that changes in the sun's
energy output significantly influences the earth's
dynamics, it's climate, and all it's living creatures
both physically and psychologically. (ref: Planetary Positions Affect Solar Activity )
The picture on the right illustrates the typical
changes in solar flux that occurs over an average 11
year sunspot cycle. This cycle is not constant in length
nor in its intensity. The length can vary from 9.5 years
to 12.5 years and the sun's internal magnetic field and
energy output will flucuate uniquely with each cycle.
During the Solar Minimum its magnetic field will be
organized and well structured. During the following 5-6
years as the sun moves toward Solar Maximum the orderly
magnetic field of the sun will be totally destroyed,
resulting in massive cornal holes and solar flares
sending intense energy releases (solar winds) throughout
our solar system. As the cycle moves toward Solar
Minimum again, the re-organization of the solar magnetic
field occurs bringing order and relative calmness to the
sun's surface. This approximate 11 year cycle leaves its
footprint on earth's geomagnetic field placing stress on
this planet's surface (increased earthquakes and
volcanic activity), on the climate (three times the
number of thunderstorms occur during solar maximum) and
in a cyclic pattern that's evident in various human
activities as well.
(ref: Climate and Keplerian
Planetary Dynamics, The King-Hele Cycles , Solar Activity: A
Dominant Factor In Climate Dynamics , Quite lengthy, but
excellent Timo Niroma: One possible explanation for
the cyclicity in the Sun)
CORRELATION: SUNSPOT
CYCLES AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
The graph of sunspot numbers since 1900 has some
characteristics that should be noted. First, 9 out of 10
of the sunspot cycle peaks (sunspot maximum) occurred
near or at the end of each decade. Second, 9 out of 10
of the cycle lows (sunspot minimum) occurred in about
the middle of each decade. Thirdly, the sunspot numbers
in each cycle increased to a maximum number in the late
1950's peak, then began declining including the 2000
peak. Interestingly, the greatest period of
thunderstorms and severe winters in the last century
occurred during the decade of the 1950's. Look at the
chart below, you see that each sunspot cycle
corresponded with an economic recession! ..Here's the
sunspot peaks and recessions for the last five decades:
1957-1958 (also 1960); sunspot peak and recession:
1969-1970; sunspot peak and recession: 1980 (also
1981-1982); sunspot peak and recession: 1990-1991;
sunspot peak and recession: 2000-2001; and next
projected sunspot peak and recession: 2009-2012.

It is during the period of increasing (acceleration)
solar activity that we collectively become more excited
and energized, probably as a result of increased
geomagnetic flux and atmospheric ionization. As solar
energy output is rising, earth is impacted by increased
waves solar magnetic winds, which changes the natural
dynamics of our environment. Our economic activity and
level of enthusiasm has risen during the second half of
each decade following the increasing rate of sunspot
activity (solar energy output) ..the correlation is
there. At sunspot peaks, the speed of increasing sunspot
activity has already begun to slow (declining rate of
change) and our level of excitability is declining which
slows the rate of change. Usually, economic extremes
have already been reached and a relative state of
exhaustion has set in. The following few years is a
period of re-grouping and consolidation both in economic
and emotional terms. ..before it all starts up again
with the next cycle!
In the early 1900's a Russian named A.L. Tchijevsky
studied this solar/social pattern and wrote extensively
about it. He constructed an Index of Mass Human
Excitability covering each year from 500 BC to 1922 AD
including the histories of 72 countries. He found that
over 80% of the most significant events occurred during
the 5 years of the sunspot activity maximum. I have
written more about him later in this presentation, but
here I wanted to show how he divided the eleven year
sunspot cycle into four different social phases. **
There is a back shift of one year in the cycle years
given to reflect the approximate peak in rate of change
for solar energy output. **:
Period 1: (approximately 3 years, minimum sunspot
activity). Peace, lack of unity among the masses,
election of conservatives, autocratic, minority rule.
**Last cycle: February, 1993 to July, 1996; Next cycle:
2004 to 2007.
Period 2: (approximately 2 years,
increasing sunspot activity). Increasing mass
excitability, new leaders rise, new ideas and challenges
to the elite. **Last cycle: August, 1996 to April, 1998;
Next cycle: 2007 to 2009.
Period 3: (approximately 3
years, maximum sunspot activity). Maximum excitability,
election of liberals or radicals, mass demonstration,
riots, revoluation, wars and resolution of most pressing
demands. **Last cycle: May, 1998 to May, 2001; Next
cycle: 2009 to 2012.
Period 4: (approximately 3
years, decreasing sunspot activity). Decrease in
excitability, masses become apathetic, seek peace.
**Last cycle: June, 2001 to ???, 2004; Next cycle: 2012
to 2015.
Whether or not the connection between solar activity
and social behavior can be broken down into such neat
catagories is debatable, but I see a more general
pattern here which can be useful in our understanding of
this dynamic relationship and in trying to anticipate
the intensity of our collective activities.
The decennial chart on the right projects the next
several years of stock market behavior based on the
decade (10 year) pattern for the last century. For
investing purposes, the price trend is a more important
factor than the decennial pattern (caution is advised!).
Here, I am using the stock market as a general gauge of
economic activity and public sentiment. The graph
indicates that recessions, economic weakness, and public
pessimism occurs more frequently in the first few years
of each decade. Then as the decade progresses public
optimism grows and economic activity strengthens. This
phase ends with consumers, businesses, and governments
over-confident and over-spent. Now, look back at the
sunspot cycle graph and you'll see rapidly declining
sunspot numbers (lower solar output) in the early years
of most decades and rapidly rising sunspot numbers in
the later years of each decade. This a very strong
correlation, ..and I doubt it's the sun getting excited
about our stock market going up!
So, what happens
"if" economic conditions are poor as we enter the next
excitable phase of the solar cycle? Well, it's possible
that people would become more pro-active in demanding
changes in their social welfare. Perhaps, labor strikes
for higher wages, demonstrations for a "freer" health
care system, demands for national job training and
public works, higher taxes on the wealthy, this would
obviously be a shift towards a more socialistic society!
And yes, socialism vs individualism does cycle around,
just like everything else in the universe! ..The next
period of intense excitability is approximately late
2009 to 2012. As of early 2004, the stock market has
risen to levels of extremely high price/earnings ratios
(in the mid-30's basis S & P 500) By mid-2005, I
expect either a major acceleration of the uptrend
following the decennial pattern above (caused by
turbo-charged real GDP growth ..which seems unlikely) or
more probably, a significant price reversal downward
riding on the back of major debt problems, rising
interest rates and currency based inflation (too many
dollars). ..The current upward retracement (S & P
500) of the September, 2000 to March, 2003 decline is
projected to be completed between 1163.83 (06/10/04) to
1252.65 (09/22/04), I would look for some important
price pattern changes in that area.
Sunspot-Manufacturing
graph by Edward R. Dewey (1968). The Foundation For the
Study of Cycles
Here is another example of the
correlation between solar activity and our collective
behavior. This graph shows the rise and fall of US
manufacturing activity which is tracking very closely
the rate of change in the 11 year cycle in sunspot
activity (compare graph B with graph C). The Foundation
For The Study Of Cycles has many more examples that fit
this same pattern, some of which are listed later in
this presentation. Mr. Edward R. Dewey is considered the
father of cycle research and was asked by President F.
D. Roosevelt in the 1930's to determine the causes of
the Great Depression. While he produced volumes of
evidence as to the cyclic nature in man's endeavors,
much of his work at the Foundation has not been updated
since his death. I have offered many links on this page
to give interested readers much food for thought. At the
bottom of this page, I have included a list of other
alleged economic and socialogical 11 year cycles (10.8
years to 11.4 years). So, why have we not been taught
about our cyclic connection to nature? ...perhaps when
prosperity is all around us who needs more answers?
CORRELATION: SUNSPOT
CYCLES AND WAR
I have read that over the last 3400 years of world
history there have only been 200 years of absolute
peace, ..quite a statement about man's lethal ego! Many
studies have found cycles in the intensity of wars
(number of international battles) ranging from 9.6 years
to 180 years in length. Two of the most dominate cycles
found by Edward Dewey (1970) was the 9.6 year and 11.24
year cycles. Both of these correspond closely to the 11
year sunspot cycle. Dewey wrote, "It is inconceivable
that the war cycle, which has recurred as regularly as
it has, and has continued over nearly 2,500 years, could
possibly be the result of anything except some external
cause." The peak in war activity seems to center around
a year or two of solar maximums with a lessening of
warring conditions within a year or two of solar
minimums.
The following is a list of solar 11 year cycle peaks
with their corresponding major war events: Solar Sunspot
Peaks: peak ..1777-1779 (1776-1783 American Revolution),
peak ..1786-1788 (1788-1791 French Revolution), peak
..1803-1805 (1803-1806 Napoleon conquers Europe), peak
..1815-1817 (1815-1817 Two wars to defeat Napoleon),
peak ..1829-1831 (1828-1832 Revolts in Turkey, Mexico,
Belguim, Poland, France, Britain), peak ..1847-1849
(1846-1848 Mexican War), peak ..1859-1861 (1861 Amercian
Civil War begins), peak ..1869-1871 (1869-1870
Franco/Prussian War), peak ..1882-1884 (1883-1886 big US
labor strikes, revolt in Sudan), peak ..1892-1894
(1893-1895 Zulu revolt, Cuban revolution), peak
..1905-1907 (1904-1905 Russo-Japanese War), peak
..1916-1918 (1914-1918 First World War, Russian
Revolution), peak ..1927-1929 (1927-1929 US stock market
crash, revolt in China, India, Vienna), peak ..1936-1938
(1936-1939 Spanish Civil War, Germany and Japan start
Second World War), peak ..1947-1949 (1946-1949 Red Army
wins China, Greek Civil War, India-Pakistan riots),
opeak ..1956-1958 (1957-1960 French-Algerian War, Cuban
Revolution, revolt in Iraq, MauMau, Israel invades
Sinai), (SSP) 1967-1969 (1967-1969 height of Viet Nam
War, worldwide student uprisings, Czechoslovakian
uprising/USSR invasion, US inner city riots), peak
..1978-1980 (1979-1982 USSR invades Afghanistan,
Iraq-Iran War begins, Falkland War, US invades Grenada),
peak ..1988-1990 (1989-1991 Dissolution Of Soviet Union
begins, Berlin Wall falls, Tianamen Square uprising,
Yugoslavia begins slaughter in Bosnia, Somalia Civil
War), peak ..1999-2001 (1999-2001 overthrow in
Indonesia, Sernian-KLA conflicts increases, Trade
Center/Pentagon terrorist attack, US prepares
Afghanistan invasion).
Edward R. Dewey's War
Cycle Graph
In Dewey's classic book titled "Cycles - Selected
Writings" (published in 1970), he included an indepth
cyclic analysis of international battles. His graph
below is a 10.8 year (sunspot cycle?) time chart (highs
only) of the smoothed deviations of international
battles from 550 A.D. through 1957. While several
deviations can be seen on the graph, the general ebb and
flow of warring conditions throughout history can be
clearly identified. The broken line rises for 86.4 years
and falls for 86.4 years.

I have written above that, the sun is pulled in a
circular pattern (relative ecliptic) around the
baycenter by the collective masses/orbital velocities of
the giant planets, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune.
These collective forces are so great that the Sun is
pulled up to 2.2 solar radii outside the baycenter of
the solar system by the angular momentum of the planets.
This extreme pulling on the sun occurs in approximately
170 to 180 year cycles. The broken lines on Dewey's war
graph represents an idealized cycle of 172.8 years in
length!
It looks like a sun-excitability connection
to me.

The last ideal low occurred
in 1944 and the next peak in international battles is
projected to be 2029. ..sorry about that.
(ref: 1816
- The Year Without A Summer 170 to 180 year solar cycle )
Some factors that could
make the Sun influence our behavior
As the sunspot numbers are rising solar energy output
is increasing also. Solar flares and their accompanying
solar winds are intense solar explosions sometimes as
large as 50,000 miles across which erupt out into space.
During these solar eruptions ultra-violet radiation,
electro-magnetic waves, and electronically charged
particles are spread throughout the solar system and
reach earth in a couple of days. This bombardment of the
earth causes magnetic storms, aura borealis,
fluctuations in atmospheric pressure, and an increase in
positive and negative ionization. Studies have shown
that electrical thunderstorms increase 300% after these
solar flares and the number of earthquakes and cyclones
increase as well. These solar storms have disrupted
satellites, power grids, and telephone systems. A few
studies link ultra-violet radiation and changes in
magnetic fields to increased metabolism levels or
erratic behavior. And it is well known that an increase
in negative ions make us more energetic. So, it is quite
possible that the acummlative effects of these factors
can change our collective behavior, perception of
reality, and levels of personal activity.
(ref: Sunspots and Human Behavior, Solar Activity & Magnetic Field
Fluctuations Affect Earth Weather, Weather Affects Humans, Influences of Solar Activity Upon Biosphere
)
The primary source of energy to earth is irradiant
energy through many wave lengths of the light spectrum.
Sunlight powers photosynthesis, and provides energy for
the atmospheric and oceanic circulations that profoundly
affect all living things. While the source of the sun's
energy comes from its core, the source of the solar
cycle variations come from tremendous fluctuations in
the sun's own magnetic field, and this magnetic energy
is released in the forms of flares and intense coronal
mass ejections. It is these accumulative large blasts of
solar energy during solar maximum that exhibit the
greatest effects on our behavior and earth's climate.
Evidence of solar cycles can be traced back many
thousands of years in atomic isotopes found in polar ice
deposits. What protects earth from a letheal dose of
solar energy is earth's strong internal electro-magnetic
field which projects out into space and interacts with
solar winds (energy) which creates a cavity called the
magnetosphere which ends at the ionosphere. The
ionosphere begins at an altitude of about 50 km above
earth and reaches out to more than 1000 km above
earth.
(ref: The Earth's Ionosphere, Solar Flares And Possible Effects On Humans,
The
Ionosphere - A Real-Time Dynamic Model, Effect Of Geomagnetic Activity On Cardiovascular
Parameters, Possible Space Weather influence On The Human
Brain, Solar Activity: A Dominant Factor In Climate
Dynamics, current space weather activity SpaceWeather.com )
There have been over 5000 studies completed by the US
military, universities and major corporations about air
ioniziation and it's effects on humans and the
biosphere. The results of these studies are significant
and have yet to be explained to the general public. I
have given numerous links to the processes of ionization
of the atmosphere and I recommend you read them.
Generally speaking, an excessive positive ionization is
harmful, this comes from pollution and a big city
environment, very dry weather, several electronic
appliances, and many other sources. A short list of the
detrimental effects of excessive positive ionization is
anxiety, apathy, fatigue, headaches, aggressiveness,
irritation, emotional unbalance, and an increase in
other health problems. What basically creates the
opposite effects is an environment rich in negative
ions.

(ref: the above positive/negative ionization chart
came from Superforce.com , and here is an
excellent study on ionization Ionization and Air Quality - A technological
Study)
So, how does our future
look based on all of these influences?
The future is precise terms is unpredictable! Here I
will combine what I have learned about social and
economic cycles, market (mass) behavior, and the 11 year
solar cycle, to draw a possible social scenario for the
next 10 years or so. First, I must state that the future
will not look like my scenario, but some of the
projected trends should be correct and exert themselves
on our collective behavior. In 2004, we are living in a
very stressful environment, the Iraq war (on going),
tremendous global economic imbalances, such as US trade
and budget deficits, and ballooning US debt, Europe has
social labor laws and a tax system that retards growth,
Asia has underdeveloped social systems and economies
that are overly dependent on US exports. Lastly, there
are growing global doubts about the world leadership
role of the United States. From my perspective, we will
see weak economic growth with ongoing debt "issues",
with high price volitility and substantial "real"
inflation for the foreseeable future. ..There is too
much compounding global debt to pay off without more
financial crisses and de-stablizing market volitility!!
Here is my armchair analysis of what lays ahead for
the next 10 years. This is being done with humility. I
have already given projected years for each social phase
of A.L. Tchijevsky's sunspot cycle above. This analysis
is based on my understanding of the solar cycle,
Tchijevsky's pattern, and my interpetation of current
events : From 2004 to 2007, we are told the ecomony is
working, ..the people are apathetic, lack unity, seek
peace, and the autocratic conservatives rule. From 2007
to 2009, the economy is declining in "real" terms, and
the people want to "vote in" economic relief. The public
is frustrated and makes demands for social reform
against an elitist government (who will win??). New
private leadership will challenge the old system with an
increase in activism, and a more socialistic agenda.
From 2009 to 2012, maximum excitability, who knows what
to expect here? Perhaps more warring conditions, a
probable economic recession, and the possiblilty of
sweeping changes (more non-establishment types get
elected) a move towards representing the majority at the
expense of corporations (more socialism). From 2012 to
2015, a decline in excitability, most people probably
accepting reduced government social influence and
support, apathetic towards their future and perhaps
living in the memory of past successes. Hopefully, I'm
wrong!
The decennial pattern tells us the Dow Industrials
should rise into 2007 before having a significant
correction and then rise again to a peak towards the end
of 2009. It will probably do the opposite. Watch closely
the stock market price action between the fall of 2004
and the spring of 2005

(ref: NASA, Solar Physics Sunspot Cycle Predictions )
THE SUN'S ENERGY AND
PATTERNS IN HUMAN BEHAVIOR
The obvious solar cycles we live with (and usually
take for granted) are: the 24 hour day-night pattern
(with the nightly sleep period being one of my
favorites). There are other times of day that we all
recognize as special to each of us, the creativity of
the morning or the calmness of an evening, ..and there's
nothing like watching a beautiful sunset, or on those
too rare of occasions a sunrise. And, there's the annual
movement of the seasons, how many of those have slipped
by without our full appreciation? This report is about
those wonderful experiences, but also about using the
tremendous forces of the solar system with all its power
and it's impact on us ..physically, psychological, and
emotionally, to make money ..what do you think about
that idea??
In 1847, Dr. Hyde Clarke wrote a paper entitled,
"Physical Economy - A Preliminary Inquiry into the
physical Laws governing the Periods of Famines and
Panics." which was published in the Railway Register. In
the commencement he remarks, "We have just gone through
a time of busy industry, and are come upon sorrow and
ill-fortune; but the same things have befallen us often
within the knowledge of those now living. Of 1837, of
1827, of 1817, of 1806, of 1796, there are men among us
who can remember the same things as we now see in 1847.
A period of bustle, or of gaming, cut short in a trice
and turned into a period of suffering and loss, is a
phenomenon so often recorded, that what is most to be
noticed is that it should excite any wonder."
LIST OF ALLEGED ECONOMIC
AND SOCIALOGICAL 11 YEAR CYCLES (10.8 YEARS TO 11.4
YEARS)
Written by Edward R. Dewey (1968). The
Foundation For the Study of Cycles.
COMMODITY PRICES
Cotton Prices,
(1731-1964)
Grain Prices, (1259-1400)
Pig Iron
Prices, (1784-1951)
Sheep Value, (1867-1963)
Wheat
Prices, (1545-1869)
Wholesale Commodity Prices,
(1720-1964)
STOCK PRICES
Combined Stock Prices,
(1871-1958)
Industrial Stock Prices,
(1871-1950)
Stock Prices, (1871-1964)
OTHER FINANCIAL
Deposits in All Banks,
(1834-1964)
Post Office Revenues,
(1800-1964)
Reichsbank Clearings,
(1884-1925)
Residential Mortgage Loans,
(1923-1942)
United States Steel Corp. Earnings,
(1900-1948)
GENERAL BUSINESS
Business Activity,
(1855-1940)
General Business Activity,
(1750-1960)
Non-Agricultural Business Activity,
(1875-1931)
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
Corn Acreage Harvested,
(1866-1964)
Cotton Production, (1790-1964)
Crop
Yields, USA, (1792-1951)
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
Automobile Production,USA,
(1925-1936)
Lead Production, (1821-1964)
Crude
Petroleum Production, (1861-1964)
Physical Production
of Manufacturing, USA, (1863-1953)
Physical
Production of Minerals, (1878-1927)
Pig Iron
Production, (1844-1958)
MISCELLANEOUS ECONOMICS
Business Panics, USA,
(1877-78,1933-34)
Commercial Crises, France, England,
(1793-1847)
Worldwide Econimic Prosperity and Crises,
(no dates given)
Shipwrecks, Indian Ocean, (no dates
given)
Value of Fisheries, Canada, (1870-1917)
SOCIALOGICAL
International Battles, (529 B.C.-1900
A.D.)
Mass Human Excitability, Worldwide, (500
B.C.-1922 A.D.)
Drought and Famine in South India,
(no dates given)
Marriage Rates in 15 Countries,
(1867-1912)
One of the earlier in-depth historical studies of
the 11 year sunspot cycle and it effects on human
behavior was conducted by A.L. Tchijevsky, a Russian
professor of Astronomy and Biological Physics. In 1926,
he presented a paper to the American Meteorological
Society in Philadelphia, using an index he constructed,
called "Index of Mass Human Excitability", he found an
11.1 year cycle in the number of major battles, riots,
migrations, and human excitability in 72 countries going
back to 500 B.C.. He concluded that 80% of the major
events of human drama occurred during the 5 years around
maximum in sunspot activity.
The following are written quotes by Professor
Tchijevsky:
"As soon as the sunspot activity
approaches its maximum, the number of important mass
historical events, taken as a whole, increases,
approaching its maximum during the sunspot maximum and
decreasing to its minimum during the periods of the
sunspot minimum..."
"In the middle points of the
cycle, the mass activity of all humanity, assuming the
presence in human societies of economical, political, or
military exciting factors, reaches the maximum tension,
manifesting itself in psychomotoric pandemics,
revolutions, insurrections, expeditions, migrations,
etc, -- thus creating new formations in the existing
separate states and new historical epochs in the life of
humanity. It is accompanied by an integration of the
masses, a full expression of their activity and a form
of government consisting of a majority."
"In the
extreme points of the cycle's course, the tension of the
all human military-political activity falls to the
minimum giving way to creative activity and is
accompanied by a general decrease of military or
political enthusiasm, by peace and peaceful creative
work in the sphere of state organizations, international
relations, science and art, with a pronounced tendency
towards absolutism in the governing powers and a
disintegration of the masses."
"The maximum of human
activites in correlation with the maximum of sunspot
activity, expresses itself in the following:
A.) The
dissemination of differentt doctrines (political,
religious, etc.), the spreading of heresies, religious
riots, pilgrimages, etc.
B.) The appearance of
social, military and religious leaders, reformers,
etc.
C.) The formation of political, military and
religious and commercial corporations, associations,
unions, leagues, sects, companies, etc...."
Professor Tchijevsky was incarcerated in a Russian
prison for 30 years because his ideas and opinions were
not aligned with the Russian government at that
time!


READ THE RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT AT THE BOTTOM
OF THIS PAGE BEFORE ACTING ON ANY OF THESE
RECOMMENDATIONS. TRADING ANY MARKET IS A RISKY VENTURE.
..especially with the current volatility!!
http://www.carolmoore.net/articles/sunspot-cycle.html
NASA – Solar Physics- The Sunspot Cycle
http://science.nasa.gov/ssl/pad/solar/sunspots.htm Space
Weather http://www.sunspotcycle.com/ Sunspots and Human
Behavior – by James Borges
http://www.borderlands.com/sun/sunspots.htm Sunspot
Cycles, human excitability and recessions
http://www.carolmoore.net/articles/sunspot-cycle.html
Solar Terrestrial Activity Report (frequent updates)
http://dxlc.com/solar/ Graphical comparison of solar
cycles http://www.dxlc.com/solar/cyclcomp.html A. L.
Tchijevsky’s 1926 article “Physical Factors of the
Historical Process” * R. Edward Dewey's book Cycles: The
Mysterious Forces that Trigger Events, 1971, (available
at links below) as well as his article "Sunspots and
War, 300 B.C. to Date", R. E. Dewey, May, 1960; * A
variety of scientific news articles, including: "Pieces
of sun's magnetic field fly through space," Lawrence
Spohn, Albuquerque Tribune, 3-22-91; "Great Ball of
Fire: An angry sun stages a spectacular show," Time
Magazine, July 3, 1989. B. C. References: Moore, Carol,
Sunspot Cycles and Activist Strategy,
http://www.kreative.net/carolmoore/sunspot-article.html
Lakhovsky, Georges, The Secret of Life, BSRF, 1985
Petersen, William, Man, Weather, Sun, John Anderson
Publishing Company, Chicago, 1947 Stetson, Harlan True,
Sunspots in Action, The Ronald Press Company, New York,
1947 Stetson, Harlan True, Sunspots and Their Effects,
McGraw-Hill, New York, 1937 Botezat-Antonescu, L.,
Predeanu I., “Possible Heliogeophysical Influence on
Human Health in Romania” (Abstract), Relations of
Biological and Physicochemical Processes with Solar
Activity and Other Environmental Factors, 1993 Breus
T.K., Halberg F. and Cornelissen G., “Effect of the
Solar Activity on the Physiological Rhythms of Human
Being” (Abstract), Relations of Biological and
Physicochemical Processes with Solar Activity and Other
Environmental Factors, 1993 Ertel, Suitber, Solar
Activity and Bursts of Human Creativity,
http://www.knowledge.co.uk/frontiers/sf067p17.html
Freitas, Robert A., Sunspots and Disease,
http://www.knowledge.co.uk/frontiers/sf034p12.html
Goncharov, G.G., “Asian Nomads Invasions and Solar
Cycles” (Abstract), Relations of Biological and
Physicochemical Processes with Solar Activity and Other
Environmental Factors, 1993
SOLAR INFLUENCES ON
CLIMATE & NATURE


(ref: very interesting website Ocean and Climate Change Institute
)
(ref: NOAA, an excellent weather & climate
resource Climate TimeLine Information Tool
)
(ref: Solar Activity Controls El Niño and La Niña
)
(ref: NOAA, the government agenecy monitoring
El Niño and La Niña )
(ref: Long-Range Forecast of U.S. Drought Based on Solar Activity)
(ref: The Year Without A Summer 170 to 180 year solar cycle )
(ref: The Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Climate
Forecasting for North America PDO )

(ref: history of our climate NOAA Paleoclimatology Program )

(ref: interesting graphics/info on the Universe An Atlas of The Universe )


